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On Research.pdf

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🔗 Source: federalreserve.gov
📊 Size: 319 KB
👤 Author: David Reifschneider
⬇️ Downloads: 117

Summary

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) may have limited scope to cut short-term interest rates in response to future recessions, with forecasts suggesting a longer-run federal funds rate of about 3 percent, allowing for only a 3 percentage point reduction. However, historical comparisons are misleading due to changes in inflation and the equilibrium real interest rate. Model simulations using FRB/US suggest that asset purchases and forward guidance can compensate for the limited scope to cut short-term interest rates, but there may be situations where this is not possible. The structure of the economy has changed, with inflation being more stable and less sensitive to resource utilization, potentially altering the amount of accommodation needed in a future recession.

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Description

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) may have limited scope to cut short-term interest rates in response to future recessions, with forecasts suggesting a...

Technical Information

  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 319 KB
  • Pages: 27
  • Language: EN
  • Author: David Reifschneider
  • Total Downloads: 117
  • Last Updated: 1 week ago

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