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Market Commentary.pdf

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Preview of Market Commentary
🔗 Source: funds.palos.ca
📊 Size: 887 KB
👤 Author: Amjad Alaik
⬇️ Downloads: 131

Summary

U.S. stocks had a volatile week, with the S&P 500 experiencing a 0.6% weekly loss, but the correction removed froth from the market, and it's not an omen for a long-term bearish mood. The monetary stance of the Fed is expansionary, corporate earnings could be better than consensus, and the money supply is growing fast, with an 18.2% annualized growth in the last five weeks. The money supply/S&P 500 ratio is historically low, suggesting upside potential for stock prices, and a return to the September 2 ratio implies a 10% upward move in the S&P 500 to 3600. The personal savings rate in the U.S. should recede sharply, and the federal budget deficits could explode, triggering a need for foreign capital, but the Fed and Treasury are unlikely to try to save the dollar with higher interest rates, and instead will support the stock and bond markets.

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  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 887 KB
  • Pages: 5
  • Language: EN
  • Author: Amjad Alaik
  • Total Downloads: 131
  • Last Updated: 1 week ago

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