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Economic Outlook Q3 2022.pdf

Quarterly-Letter-Q3-2022-Claret.pdf
Preview of Economic Outlook Q3 2022
🔗 Source: claret.ca
📊 Size: 7.7 MB
👤 Author: Claret
⬇️ Downloads: 100

Summary

The economy is experiencing a wild ride due to inflation, interest rates, and supply chain issues, with the Fed trying to slow it down by removing free money. Higher interest rates will eventually act as a brake, and signs of a slowdown are already appearing, such as FedEx's lower profit and revenue, semiconductor manufacturers' glut in inventories, and CarMax's declining sales. Inflation is still higher than interest rates, and either inflation must come down or interest rates must go up further. The stock market is already reflecting this, with companies like FedEx, Micron, and CarMax experiencing significant stock price drops. The bear market still has time to run, and a credit event, such as one involving Credit Suisse, is possible. The American and Canadian banks are solid, but "Shadow Banking" is a weak spot. As the bear market progresses, it will reveal which companies are swimming naked. The energy transition is also a concern, with little progress made in reducing fossil fuel use despite significant investments in renewable energy.

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Description

The economy is experiencing a wild ride due to inflation, interest rates, and supply chain issues, with the Fed trying to slow it down by removing free money.

Technical Information

  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 7.7 MB
  • Pages: 5
  • Language: EN
  • Author: Claret
  • Total Downloads: 100
  • Last Updated: 4 weeks ago

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