Los Gatos Union School District Student Population Projections 2015/16 - 2024/25 By Residence.pdf

Projection B (Known and Approved Development): Showed a net increase of 18 students in total K-8 enrollment through 2024/25 due to new housing developments approved within district boundaries.
Projection C (Speculative Development): This projection assumes additional, unapproved development occurs, leading to a larger increase in student population compared to Projection B. Specific numbers will depend on the actual amount and timing of speculative development.

Key Drivers:

Historical Growth: LGUSD has experienced annual growth, increasing from 2,587 students in 2006/07 to 3,319 students in 2014/15. This growth is attributed primarily to positive net migration (more families with school-age children moving into the district).
Future Development: The District's future student population will be significantly impacted by residential development plans within its boundaries.

Known and Approved Developments: Projects like Brookside, North Forty, Oak Rim/Blossom Hill, Riviera Terrace, and Sister Holy Names are included in Projection B.
Speculative Developments: Unapproved projects could lead to larger student population increases than shown in Projection B.
Area Births: Declining area births will contribute to a slower growth rate in all projections after initial years.

Report Structure:

The report includes:

Methodology: Explains the data sources, calculation methods, and variables used in developing the projections.
Attendance Matrix: Provides detailed information on projected student enrollment by school and grade level for each projection scenario.
Discussion & Summaries: Analyzes the results of each projection, highlighting key trends and implications for facility planning. Includes maps showing elementary and middle school attendance areas and study areas.