Https://www.york.ac. Uk/media/economics/d Ocuments/hedg/workin Gpapers/2020/2016.pd F.pdf

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Summary

The model is applied to various European regions, including Italy, France, and Scotland, and provides reliable forecasts tailored to local characteristics of epidemic dynamics and hospital practices. The forecast performance is encouraging, suggesting the approach may be useful beyond the analyzed cases. The authors use daily time series data on Covid-19 spread, focusing on the number of patients admitted to ICU and hospitalized with Covid-19 symptoms, which are less prone to bias and misreporting. The model accounts for the impact of interventions such as lockdowns and social distancing on the spread of the disease.

Description

The model is applied to various European regions, including Italy, France, and Scotland, and provides reliable forecasts tailored to local characteristics of...

Technical Information

  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 419 KB
  • Pages: 33
  • Language: EN
  • Author: Hobbs
  • Total Downloads: 77
  • Last Updated: 3 weeks ago

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