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🔗 Source: centaur.reading.ac.uk
📊 Size: 1.33 MB
👤 Author: T Davies-Barnard
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Summary

Full effects of land use change in the representative concentration pathways: Future land use change is a key component of IPCC representative concentration pathways, but climate impact only includes greenhouse gases, not physical land surface changes. Researchers used climate model simulations to show non-carbon impacts of land use change are critical, with net climate effects differing from carbon-only effects. All assessed RCPs have a small net warming from land use change due to biogeophysical effects, with RCP4.5 having a warming outside expected variability. Afforestation in RCP4.5 decreases surface albedo, increasing global temperature anomaly over land, and reducing Arctic sea ice cover. The small net positive temperature effect from land use change could make RCP4.5's universal carbon tax counterproductive with respect to climate.

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Full effects of land use change in the representative concentration pathways: Future land use change is a key component of IPCC representative concentration...

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  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 1.33 MB
  • Pages: 10
  • Language: EN
  • Author: T Davies-Barnard
  • Total Downloads: 101
  • Last Updated: 7 days ago

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