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Sigmoid Forecast.pdf

A Sigmoid Dialogue.pdf
Preview of Sigmoid Forecast
🔗 Source: aleph.se
📊 Size: 265 KB
👤 Author: Arenamontanus
⬇️ Downloads: 217

Summary

Achilles uses curve fitting to predict computer performance based on Moore's law, estimating an ultimate limit of 10^7.5 flops per dollar, but Tortoise is skeptical due to noise in the data and large uncertainty in the estimate, with a 95% confidence interval spanning 11 orders of magnitude. Achilles attempts to address concerns by estimating the inflection point of Moore's law, predicting it will occur between 1975 and 2002, and testing the reliability of predictions using artificial data.

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Description

Achilles uses curve fitting to predict computer performance based on Moore's law, estimating an ultimate limit of 10^7.5 flops per dollar, but Tortoise is...

Technical Information

  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 265 KB
  • Pages: 8
  • Language: EN
  • Author: Arenamontanus
  • Total Downloads: 217
  • Last Updated: 4 weeks ago

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This PDF document about Sigmoid Forecast provides comprehensive information and guidance. Whether you're a beginner or advanced user, this resource offers valuable insights into Sigmoid Forecast.

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