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1012.4118.pdf
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🔗 Source: arxiv.org
📊 Size: 443 KB
👤 Author: Tsirel, Akaev, Fomin, Korotayev
⬇️ Downloads: 43

Summary

Researchers from Russia analyzed gold price dynamics using Didier Sornette's methodology and found that the dynamics resemble those of a "bubble" that may burst in April-June 2011, with May or June 2011 being the most probable timing. They used two additional methods to confirm this forecast, which should be regarded as probable rather than exact due to potential interventions by major financial players. The researchers also analyzed possible consequences of the "gold bubble" burst, including huge losses and bankruptcies, but also potential benefits if investments move to promising areas, contributing to new goods and services production and accelerating the exit from the crisis.

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Researchers from Russia analyzed gold price dynamics using Didier Sornette's methodology and found that the dynamics resemble those of a "bubble" that may...

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  • File Format: PDF
  • File Size: 443 KB
  • Pages: 15
  • Language: EN
  • Author: Tsirel, Akaev, Fomin, Korotayev
  • Total Downloads: 43
  • Last Updated: 2 months ago

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